Gregor Weekly Mid-Week Update: 18 September 2009

My vision of 100 dollar Oil and 15% unemployment in California is getting closer. And I’m being conservative in this regard because I’m using the headline measure of unemployment, rather than the U-6 measure, which is not only broader but much closer to the way unemployment’s been measured in US historically. Today, the latest data dump on State unemployment was released, and California has hit (yet another) new high of 12.2%. Of course, using U-6 for California, we are already above 17.00%, if not higher.

Gold continues to get alot of attention, but actually, alot of junk assets have had far bigger moves off the lows of 2009.   (this article continues for subscribers through the membership gateway, on the right side of this page.)…

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  • Gregor Macdonald

    Gregor Macdonald has spent this decade researching and investing in the energy sector, using a macro approach. He also runs an energy and economics blog. More »

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