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	<title>GregorWeekly &#187; China</title>
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	<link>http://www.gregorweekly.com</link>
	<description>A Macro Blog Running a Model Portfolio</description>
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		<title>MacroTwits Sunday Night Show 25 July 2010</title>
		<link>http://www.gregorweekly.com/2010/07/26/macrotwits-sunday-night-show-25-july-2010/</link>
		<comments>http://www.gregorweekly.com/2010/07/26/macrotwits-sunday-night-show-25-july-2010/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 27 Jul 2010 01:01:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Gregor Macdonald</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Video]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Climate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Debt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[energy $KOL]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Grantham]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lumber]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.gregorweekly.com/?p=3125</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Viewers of the MacroTwits Sunday Night Show are encourage to also read the current issue of StockTwits Macro Weekly. This week, alot of the conversation centered around Climate, Debt, and the global Lumber market.

]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Viewers of the MacroTwits Sunday Night Show are encourage to also read the current issue of <a href="http://stocktwits.com/macro_weekly">StockTwits Macro Weekly</a>. This week, alot of the conversation centered around Climate, Debt, and the global Lumber market.</p>
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		<title>Climate Blues: GregorWeekly Macro Note</title>
		<link>http://www.gregorweekly.com/2010/07/25/climate-blues-gregorweekly-macro-note/</link>
		<comments>http://www.gregorweekly.com/2010/07/25/climate-blues-gregorweekly-macro-note/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 25 Jul 2010 20:02:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Gregor Macdonald</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Premium Articles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ABB]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[carbon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Climate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Grantham]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[KOL]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Solar]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[TAN]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wind]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.gregorweekly.com/?p=3105</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
This article is for subscribers. To read,  please pass through the membership gateway on the Join Tab, at the top of this  page.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a class="lightbox" title="China Floods" href="http://www.gregorweekly.com/?attachment_id=3112"><img class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-3112" title="China Floods" src="http://www.gregorweekly.com/wp-content/uploads/china-dam-flood-july-2010-624x409.jpg" alt="" width="624" height="409" /></a></p>
<p><strong><em>This </em></strong><em><strong>article is for subscribers. To read,  please pass through the membership gateway on the Join Tab, at the top of this  page</strong></em>.<//em><//strong></stron></e><//strong><//em></e></stron></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>The End of Pretend: GregorWeekly Macro Note</title>
		<link>http://www.gregorweekly.com/2010/07/11/the-end-of-pretend-gregorweekly-macro-note/</link>
		<comments>http://www.gregorweekly.com/2010/07/11/the-end-of-pretend-gregorweekly-macro-note/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 11 Jul 2010 21:11:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Gregor Macdonald</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Premium Articles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[EWA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[EWC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FXA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FXC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GLD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Housing]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.gregorweekly.com/?p=2960</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
This article is for  subscribers.  To read, please pass through the membership gateway on the  Join Tab, at  the top of this page.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a class="lightbox" title="supersurface-superstudio-008_905" href="http://www.gregorweekly.com/?attachment_id=2969"><img class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-2969" title="supersurface-superstudio-008_905" src="http://www.gregorweekly.com/wp-content/uploads/supersurface-superstudio-008_905-624x408.jpg" alt="" width="624" height="408" /></a></p>
<p><strong><em>This </em></strong><em><strong>article is for  subscribers.  To read, please pass through the membership gateway on the  Join Tab, at  the top of this page</strong></em>.<//em><//strong></stron></e><//strong><//em></e></stron></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>MacroTwits Hour: Sunday Night Show 23 May 2010</title>
		<link>http://www.gregorweekly.com/2010/05/24/macrotwits-hour-sunday-night-show-23-may-2010/</link>
		<comments>http://www.gregorweekly.com/2010/05/24/macrotwits-hour-sunday-night-show-23-may-2010/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 24 May 2010 13:08:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Gregor Macdonald</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Video]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[$BP]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Deepwater Horizon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Macondo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Oil]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.gregorweekly.com/2010/05/24/macrotwits-hour-sunday-night-show-23-may-2010/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The full range of www.StockTwits.TV programming can now be taken through iTunes. See link at bottom of the StockTwits. TV front page. Regards, –Gregor﻿

]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The full range of <a href="http://www.stocktwits.tv/">www.StockTwits.TV </a>programming can now be taken through iTunes. See link at bottom of the StockTwits. TV front page. Regards, –Gregor﻿</p>
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		<title>MacroTwits Hour: Sunday Night Show 18 April 2010</title>
		<link>http://www.gregorweekly.com/2010/04/18/macrotwits-hour-sunday-night-show-18-april-2010/</link>
		<comments>http://www.gregorweekly.com/2010/04/18/macrotwits-hour-sunday-night-show-18-april-2010/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Apr 2010 03:11:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Gregor Macdonald</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Video]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AUD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[California]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[EU]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Goldman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jobs]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.gregorweekly.com/2010/04/18/macrotwits-hour-sunday-night-show-18-april-2010/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The full range of stocktwits.tv programming can now be taken through  iTunes. See link at bottom of the StockTwits. TV front page.  Regards, –Gregor﻿

]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The full range of stocktwits.tv programming can now be taken through  iTunes. See link at bottom of the <a href="http://www.stocktwits.tv/">StockTwits. TV</a> front page.  Regards, –Gregor﻿</p>
<p><object classid="clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000" width="500" height="375" codebase="http://download.macromedia.com/pub/shockwave/cabs/flash/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0"><param name="data" value="http://www.stocktwits.tv/wp-content/plugins/flash-video-player/mediaplayer/player.swf" /><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true" /><param name="allowScriptAccess" value="always" /><param name="flashvars" value="file=http://d1s8fiixysxh7s.cloudfront.net/shows/macrotwits041810.flv&amp;autoplay=false&amp;image=http://www.stocktwits.tv/graphics/main-splash.png" /><param name="src" value="http://www.stocktwits.tv/wp-content/plugins/flash-video-player/mediaplayer/player.swf" /><embed type="application/x-shockwave-flash" width="500" height="375" src="http://www.stocktwits.tv/wp-content/plugins/flash-video-player/mediaplayer/player.swf" flashvars="file=http://d1s8fiixysxh7s.cloudfront.net/shows/macrotwits041810.flv&amp;autoplay=false&amp;image=http://www.stocktwits.tv/graphics/main-splash.png" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" data="http://www.stocktwits.tv/wp-content/plugins/flash-video-player/mediaplayer/player.swf"></embed></object></p>
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		<title>Podcast Picks: Friday 19 March 2009</title>
		<link>http://www.gregorweekly.com/2010/03/19/podcast-picks-friday-19-march-2009/</link>
		<comments>http://www.gregorweekly.com/2010/03/19/podcast-picks-friday-19-march-2009/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 19 Mar 2010 23:10:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Gregor Macdonald</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Articles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Autos]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Inflation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Internet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Spare Capacity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[unemployment]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.gregorweekly.com/?p=2155</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Other Internet: Weiliang Nie reports on China&#8217;s control of the internet, BBC World Service Documentary.
Interview with Bearing Asset Managment&#8217;s Bill Lagner: by Eric King, King World News.
Money, Markets and Community Support Officers: global macro with Michael Hampton, Frisby&#8217;s Bulls and Bears Podcast.
Economics Perspectives: discussion of Inflation with Dr. Peter Warburton, Financial Sense Newshour.
Parking Militants [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a class="lightbox" title="Warhol-Mao-5" href="http://www.gregorweekly.com/?attachment_id=2154"><img class="alignleft size-full wp-image-2154" title="Warhol-Mao-5" src="http://www.gregorweekly.com/wp-content/uploads/Warhol-Mao-5.jpg" alt="" width="374" height="434" /></a>The Other Internet: Weiliang Nie reports on China&#8217;s control of the internet,<a href="http://www.bbc.co.uk/worldservice/documentaries/2010/03/100316_chinas_firewall.shtml"> BBC World Service Documentary</a>.</p>
<p>Interview with Bearing Asset Managment&#8217;s Bill Lagner: by Eric King, <a href="http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/Broadcast/Entries/2010/3/13_Bill_Laggner.html">King World News</a>.</p>
<p>Money, Markets and Community Support Officers: global macro with Michael Hampton, <a href="http://commoditywatch.podbean.com/2010/03/16/money-markets-and-community-support-officers/">Frisby&#8217;s Bulls and Bears Podcast</a>.</p>
<p>Economics Perspectives: discussion of Inflation with Dr. Peter Warburton, <a href="http://www.financialsense.com/fsn/main.php">Financial Sense Newshour</a>.</p>
<p>Parking Militants and Hotheads: the problem of the automobile, with Jim Kunstler, <a href="http://kunstlercast.com/index.html">The KunstlerCast</a>.</p>
<p>Jobless and Looking: roundtable on Unemployment, <a href="http://thedianerehmshow.org/shows/2010-03-18/jobless-and-looking">Dianne Rhem WAMU Radio</a>.</p>
<p>-Gregor</p>
<p>Painting: <em>Mao, </em>by Andy Warhol.</p>
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		<title>China and Coal: Model Portfolio Update</title>
		<link>http://www.gregorweekly.com/2010/03/17/china-and-coal-model-portfolio-update/</link>
		<comments>http://www.gregorweekly.com/2010/03/17/china-and-coal-model-portfolio-update/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 18 Mar 2010 03:58:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Gregor Macdonald</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Articles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[KOL]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.gregorweekly.com/?p=2141</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Another American on TV calling China a bubble? Huh. That is not only uninteresting&#8211;it&#8217;s simply not analysis. And frankly this has become rather tedious. Perhaps humanity itself is a bubble, or perhaps the phrase &#8220;the biggest bubble the world has ever seen&#8221; refers to a historic shift in humanity? I don&#8217;t know. But as a [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Another American on TV calling China a bubble? Huh. That is not only uninteresting&#8211;it&#8217;s simply not analysis. And frankly this has become rather tedious. Perhaps humanity itself is a bubble, or perhaps the phrase &#8220;the biggest bubble the world has ever seen&#8221; refers to a historic shift in humanity? I don&#8217;t know. But as a brief follow-up to my weekend note, I think we can now safely conclude that a new generation of China Crash Kids is ready to take up the torch, from the last decade. Jim Rickards: your hyperbole over China this week is <a href="http://www.businessweek.com/news/2010-03-17/china-in-greatest-bubble-in-history-rickards-says-update2-.html">staggeringly boring</a>.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, let&#8217;s turn our attention to coal. The model portfolio has at least three positions which are either direct or indirect plays on coal. (<em><strong>this article continues for subscribers through the membership gateway, on the right side of this page</strong></em>)<//em><//strong></stron></e></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Readings: Tuesday 16 March 2010</title>
		<link>http://www.gregorweekly.com/2010/03/16/readings-tuesday-16-march-2010/</link>
		<comments>http://www.gregorweekly.com/2010/03/16/readings-tuesday-16-march-2010/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 16 Mar 2010 08:15:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Gregor Macdonald</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Articles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Britain]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[California]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Innovation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Oil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[UK]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.gregorweekly.com/?p=2124</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Challenges Ahead for World Oil: James Hamilton, Econobrowser.
Beijingers Get Back on Their Bikes: Michael Bristow, BBC News.
Barbarism and Good Brandy: John Michael Greer, The Archdruid Report.
Unemployment Tops 20% in Eight California Counties: Alana Semuels, The Los Angeles Times.
The Great British Economy Disaster: John Lanchester, London Review of Books.
Economists Deliver a Sturdy Smackdown of Peak [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a class="lightbox" title="Vachon" href="http://www.gregorweekly.com/?attachment_id=2130"><img class="alignleft size-large wp-image-2130" title="Vachon" src="http://www.gregorweekly.com/wp-content/uploads/Vachon-284x420.jpg" alt="" width="234" height="348" /></a>The Challenges Ahead for World Oil: James Hamilton, <a href="http://www.econbrowser.com/archives/2010/03/the_challenges.html">Econobrowser</a>.</p>
<p>Beijingers Get Back on Their Bikes: Michael Bristow, <a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/8538221.stm">BBC News</a>.</p>
<p>Barbarism and Good Brandy: John Michael Greer, <a href="http://thearchdruidreport.blogspot.com/">The Archdruid Report</a>.</p>
<p>Unemployment Tops 20% in Eight California Counties: Alana Semuels, <a href="http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-cal-jobs11-2010mar11,0,3667613.story?track=rss">The Los Angeles Times</a>.</p>
<p>The Great British Economy Disaster: John Lanchester, <a href="http://www.lrb.co.uk/v32/n05/john-lanchester/the-great-british-economy-disaster">London Review of Books</a>.</p>
<p>Economists Deliver a Sturdy Smackdown of Peak Oil Demand: Kate Mackenzie, <a href="http://blogs.ft.com/energy-source/2010/03/15/economists-deliver-a-study-smackdown-of-peak-oil-demand/">FT energysource</a>.</p>
<p>Innovation, Schminnovation – Welcome to the Boring Age: Paul Kedrosky, <a href="http://paul.kedrosky.com/archives/2010/03/innovation_schm.html">Infectious Greed</a>.</p>
<p><em>-Gregor</em></p>
<p>Photo: <em>Abandoned Car Off Highway in Rio Grande 1972</em> by John Vachon, from <a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/usnationalarchives/3931011501/in/set-72157622403855822/">The EPA DOCUMERICA Project</a>.<em><br />
</em></p>
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		<title>Models of China: GregorWeekly Macro Note</title>
		<link>http://www.gregorweekly.com/2010/03/13/models-of-china-gregorweekly-macro-note/</link>
		<comments>http://www.gregorweekly.com/2010/03/13/models-of-china-gregorweekly-macro-note/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 14 Mar 2010 04:55:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Gregor Macdonald</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Articles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GLD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Koo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pettis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SLV]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sudden Stop]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.gregorweekly.com/?p=2082</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[While making charts with fresh energy data this week I found myself listening to a long, extensive interview with Stephen Roach on Bloomberg radio. I didn&#8217;t know it was Roach at first. I certainly knew the voice, and the topic (global economy). But I couldn&#8217;t quite place the voice. As the interview moved along, the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a class="lightbox" title="Model of Shanghai" href="http://www.gregorweekly.com/?attachment_id=2096"><img class="alignleft size-full wp-image-2096" title="Model of Shanghai" src="http://www.gregorweekly.com/wp-content/uploads/Model-of-Shanghai.jpg" alt="" width="440" height="331" /></a>While making charts with fresh energy data this week I found myself listening to a long, extensive interview with Stephen Roach on Bloomberg radio. I didn&#8217;t know it was Roach at first. I certainly knew the voice, and the topic (global economy). But I couldn&#8217;t quite place the voice. As the interview moved along, the conversation turned to China. And that&#8217;s when I put the ideas and the voice together. You see, Stephen Roach spent the better part of the last decade offering bearish views on China. He, along with Andy Xie at Morgan Stanley, correctly identified the &#8220;imbalances&#8221; which marked the Chimerica relationship. However, what they missed completely was that the rupture in the global financial fabric would eventually find its locus not in China, but in America.</p>
<p>Roach is much less definitive now, on the future of the global economy. It would appear the new face of China&#8217;s impending crash thesis falls to money managers such as Hugh Hendry in London, and Jim Chanos in New York. At a recent investor in event in Moscow, Hendry derided those who believed in the China story and cited Goldman&#8217;s Jim O&#8217;Neill as the leader of the &#8220;China&#8211;You Either Get it Or You Don&#8217;t&#8221; gang. Pausing for comic effect, Hendry replied to the quote: &#8220;And I guess I don&#8217;t get it.&#8221; Meanwhile, in New York, Chanos has embarked on his China crash thesis with presentations and slide-decks. Last decade, I used to refer to the band of China bears as the China Crash Kids. Many of them have faded away now, and apparently handed off to a new generation.</p>
<p>China is not so much about the false dilemma presented by folks like Hendry. China is not about our own false framings, that we project from our spectator seats in the West. Instead the axis, or perhaps axes, by which to better understand China simply travel along different lines. For example, it was common in the West to refer to China merely as an emerging economy last decade. But the 2008 Olympics I think helped to show the world that coastal China was not so much emerging, as <em>emerged</em>. Perhaps one of the greatest misunderstandings about China the past 10 years was to have reduced the country to nothing more than a sweatshop, fated to never generate internal demand. The latest faulty analysis centers on China&#8217;s real estate bubble. But again, the salient point is ignored: most Chinese property is bought without credit.</p>
<p>Recently I decided to talk with a friend, therefore, in China. There is no question in my mind that China faces serious risks, for example, in both energy and food supply. However, in my conversation I learned&#8230;(<em><strong>this article continues for subscribers through the membership gateway, on the right side of this page</strong></em>)<//em><//strong></stron></e></p><//p><//em></e></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Podcast Picks: Friday 12 February 2009</title>
		<link>http://www.gregorweekly.com/2010/02/12/podcast-picks-friday-12-february-2009/</link>
		<comments>http://www.gregorweekly.com/2010/02/12/podcast-picks-friday-12-february-2009/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 12 Feb 2010 16:57:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Gregor Macdonald</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Articles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Afghanistan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Junk Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peak Oil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Prechter]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Steffen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Vancouver]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.gregorweekly.com/?p=1741</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Country Driving in China: interview with Peter Hessler, WBUR On Point Radio.
Dow to Triple Digits: interview with Robert Prechter, Frisby’s Bulls and Bears Radio.
Building a Planet with a Future: Alex Steffen via KUOW&#8217;s Speaker Forum series, KUOW.org.
The Vancouver Winter Olympics: cost and security for the Winter Games, Dianne Rhem WAMU Radio.
Peak Oil and its Effect [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a class="lightbox" title="Oppenheim Device to Root Out Evil" href="http://www.gregorweekly.com/?attachment_id=1744"><img class="alignleft size-full wp-image-1744" title="Oppenheim Device to Root Out Evil" src="http://www.gregorweekly.com/wp-content/uploads/Oppenheim-Device-to-Root-Out-Evil.jpg" alt="" width="297" height="396" /></a>Country Driving in China: interview with Peter Hessler, <a href="http://www.onpointradio.org/2010/02/country-driving-in-china">WBUR On Point Radio</a>.</p>
<p>Dow to Triple Digits: interview with Robert Prechter, <a href="http://commoditywatch.podbean.com/">Frisby’s Bulls and Bears Radio</a>.</p>
<p>Building a Planet with a Future: Alex Steffen via KUOW&#8217;s Speaker Forum series, <a href="http://www.kuow.org/program.php?id=19395">KUOW.org</a>.</p>
<p>The Vancouver Winter Olympics: cost and security for the Winter Games, <a href="http://wamu.org/programs/dr/10/02/11.php#31363">Dianne Rhem WAMU Radio</a>.</p>
<p>Peak Oil and its Effect on the Health Care Industry: interview with Dr. Peter Gray, <a href="http://twobeerswithsteve.libsyn.com/index.php?post_id=580644">Two Beers With Steve Podcast</a>.</p>
<p>The New Junk Economics: From Democracy to Neoliberal Oligarchy: interview with Michael Hudson, <a href="http://www.kpfa.org/archive/id/58530">KPFA Guns and Butter Radio</a>.</p>
<p>The Afghan Rout of the Soviet Army: interview with Lewis Lapham, <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/tvradio/podcast/lewis_lapham.html">Bloomberg Radio Podcasts</a>.</p>
<p>-Gregor</p>
<p>Photo: Dennis Oppenheim&#8217;s <em>Device to Root Out Evil</em>, Coal Harbour, Vancouver BC.</p>
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